U.S. and Iran have 'final, agreed upon text' of a deal, Pakistan prime minister says
business · 4 h ago
President Donald Trump earlier wrote on Truth Social that public reporting about the deal has "NOTHING to do with the terms that were agreed to, in writing."

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A publicly announced written U.S.-Iran deal by July 31 is directly what this market prices: whether the U.S. signs a written agreement with Iran by that date.
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It is the same signed-agreement event but the June 30 deadline is earlier than the story’s July 31 claim, so it is relevant context rather than a direct match.