S&P 500 rises as traders await Iran deal details, SpaceX's first trade: Live updates

This directly prices whether the U.S. and Iran sign an agreement by 2026-06-30, which is a close subset of the story’s Iran-deal claim even though the story asks about a nuclear deal by year-end.

This directly prices whether the U.S. and Iran reach an official nuclear deal by 2026-12-31, matching the story’s Iran nuclear-deal claim.

This directly prices whether SpaceX completes an IPO by 2026-12-31, which is the story’s SpaceX first-trade claim.

This directly prices whether SpaceX completes an IPO by 2026-12-31, which is the closest match to the story’s 'SpaceX's first trade' claim.

This directly prices whether S&P 500 (SPY) closes above a threshold on June 12, 2026, matching the story’s intraday close-higher claim for that date.

This directly prices whether S&P 500 (SPY) closes above a threshold on June 12, 2026, which matches the story’s claim about the S&P 500 closing higher that day.