This Conservative Insider Is Skeptical That the G.O.P. Can ‘Buck Historical Trends’ in the Midterms
general · 2 h ago
Why “top Republicans should actually be more concerned.”

Linked markets
This directly prices whether Democrats will control the House after the 2026 midterms, matching the story’s House-control claim.
This directly prices whether Democrats will control the Senate after the 2026 midterms, matching the story’s Senate-control claim.
Related markets
This is the corresponding Republican House-control market in the same election, relevant but the opposite side of the House-control claim rather than the exact claim.